- BJP is making a three-point strategy in UP
- Fighting elections on the face of Modi in Uttarakhand
- BJP’s challenge to save power
The assembly elections for Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa have been announced. Except Punjab, there is a BJP government in the remaining four states. The biggest challenge before the BJP is to save its governments in UP, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur. In Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa, the BJP has a direct fight with the Congress. At the same time, this time in the UP elections, the Samajwadi Party has put its full force in making the contest two-sided. BJP has nothing to lose in Punjab and for the first time it is preparing to contest 70 more seats in the role of elder brother.
In the elections of these 5 states, BJP’s biggest fight is in UP, where BJP has won a huge victory in the 2014 and 2019 Lok Sabha elections. Formed his government in UP with a thumping majority in the 2017 assembly elections. Chanakya Home Minister Amit Shah has said that if Modi is to be made Prime Minister again in 2024, then it is necessary for BJP to win Uttar Pradesh in 2022.
BJP is making a three-point strategy in UP
If sources are to be believed, BJP is working on a three-pronged strategy of Mandal, Kamandal and Garib Kalyan in UP. Mandal refers to the integration of non-Yadav OBC castes with the BJP. Although Omprakash Rajbhar is not with the BJP this time, but in the form of Nishad Party, BJP has got a strong ally in the form of a non-gayyadav OBC. BJP sources say that Nishad Samaj has 10 thousand to 70 thousand votes in about 100 seats of UP. Anupriya Patel is already with BJP, she is also a big leader of Gairyadav OBC Kurmi caste.
By Kamandal, he means the politics of Hindutva, which includes the construction of Ram temple in Ayodhya and development of Kashi Vishwanath Dham. During the election campaign, the BJP sees this agenda as linking it to law and order and action against the mafia. With this, in BJP’s strategy, the benefits of central and state government schemes to reach the poor and farmers fits into the agenda of poor welfare.
Fighting elections on the face of Modi in Uttarakhand
At the same time, history in Uttarakhand is witness that no party government has been captured in power for two consecutive terms, so BJP changed the chief minister thrice to reduce the anti-incumbency wave. If BJP sources are to be believed, then the party is fighting the election on the face of PM Modi. Most of the leaders who switched from Congress to BJP just before the 2017 assembly elections are not returning home and this is a matter of satisfaction for the central leadership of BJP. The BJP believes that the Congress has not presented Harish Rawat as the chief ministerial candidate, which will benefit the BJP and the BJP also believes so. BJP believes that this time the Aam Aadmi Party will enter the fray in the elections by dividing the anti-BJP votes and it will also benefit the BJP.
Moving ahead on a special strategy in Punjab
This time the equation of all the parties in Punjab has changed in the elections. In Punjab, this time BJP is in alliance with Captain Amarinder Singh and Sukhdev Singh Dhindsa. The BJP feels that the farmers’ displeasure has subsided after the return of agricultural laws. BJP is projecting the breach in PM Modi’s security in Ferozepur as a big emotional issue. BJP’s assessment is that 65 seats in the state are Hindu-dominated and their alliance can perform well there. Anyway, BJP feels that the election has become pentagonal due to the election of farmer organizations. In such a situation, BJP feels that if farmers organizations make a dent in the vote bank of Congress, Aam Aadmi Party and Akali Dal, then it will directly benefit the alliance of BJP, so BJP is proceeding on the strategy that without him government in the state. Could not be
Biren Singh is the only face in Manipur
On the other hand, in Manipur, the BJP is working on a strategy to return to power on the strength of its alliance partners. For this, he has no hesitation in getting the leaders of his allies to join the party. In Manipur, in the last two years, many big leaders, including the state president of the main opposition party, have been included in the BJP. There the BJP has decided to contest the elections under the leadership of the current Chief Minister N Biren Singh.
Hat-trick expected in Goa
In Goa, BJP is making every effort to come to power for the third time, knowing that this election they do not have a big face like Manohar Parrikar in whose name the election can be won. That is why the party has not projected the current Pramod Sawant CM as its face. Here too, PM Modi is fighting the election with a face forward. In Goa, the BJP is hopeful that with the Aam Aadmi Party and the Trinamool Congress coming into the fray, they will reap the benefits of the division of anti-incumbency votes.
This thing is well known to the BJP leadership that this time the position of the party in the assembly elections of five states is not the same as in 2017, so the party should not be able to re-capture power in all the four states and without them in Punjab, the government should not be formed. For this, it is working on the strategy of Saam, Price, Dand, Bhed.
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