Monsoon can start in Kerala anytime till 1st June. Monsoon can start in Kerala anytime till June 1

Digital Desk, New Delhi. The much-awaited news at this time of the year is awaited. Contrary to its earlier prediction of the onset of Southwest Monsoon over Kerala on May 27, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Thursday said that this forecast week ( i.e. till June 1) and real time monitoring of situations is being done.

The news of the onset of Southwest Monsoon over Kerala is the most awaited news for agricultural practices across India, which has a major impact on the domestic economy, including the stock markets. IMD’s Extended Range Forecast said, the southwest during the next 48 hours. Conditions are favorable for further advance of Southwest Monsoon into some more parts of Arabian Sea, entire Maldives and adjoining areas of Lakshadweep and Comorin region. Conditions are likely to become favorable for the onset of monsoon over Kerala during the week.

This week is the forecast week from May 26 to June 1 and it means that the monsoon can arrive any time till June 1. When asked about the specific reason for the delay, a senior IMD scientist said, “Our first one of May 27 In the forecast of plus/minus four days the estimate was mentioned. There has been no rain in all the 14 identified stations in Kerala today.

Monsoon is a complex phenomenon and there are several criteria to be met before the IMD declares its onset over Kerala and is dependent on factors such as rainfall, wind field and outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). First, if Kerala starts after May 10 If 60 per cent of the 14 stations listed in the sub-division report 2.5 mm or more of rain for two consecutive days, Kerala can be declared on the second day, provided the other two criteria are wind area and outgoing longwave. Also agree with the identified/established Specifications for Radiation (OLR).

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The 14 stations are Minicoy, Amini, Thiruvananthapuram, Punalur, Kollam, Allappuzha, Kottayam, Kochi, Thrissur, Kozhikode, Thalassery, Kannur, Kudulu and Mangaluru. The IMD had said on May 19 that the onset of southwest monsoon over Kerala is possible by May 25 . However, on both Wednesday and Thursday, the IMD noted a further move closer to Kerala, but did not specify an onset over Kerala.

Much before its normal date of 22 May, the monsoon had reached and crossed the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, but the IMD has made it clear that there is no association of the onset of the monsoon over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands and Kerala. – Not related.

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